Ello,

I dare say, Kes HAS been unerringly correct in about 1% of his predictions.

However, if all had come true, or even just a fraction more, we'd be so laced

in darkness, paranoia, and, how shall I say this, the raping of small children

and women, that we'd all be wound up as tight as tops.

The truth is, Kes, while at times a terribly coherent yet utterly disrespectful

knight, is generally entirely off the mark. This being said, the few truths he

does speak can easily be discounted as the mere voicing of that common knowledge

which most of the rest of us elder players can plainly see. When Long Night items

are being slowly stocked by one or two guilds of the Thakrian persuasion, and

when those of the opposite cult seem to be doing nothing to act against it, there

is little doubt this most disturbing of rituals shall come to pass.

When the relations between two cities, namely Parrius and Mercinae, are reaching

a fevered pitch as neither can come to terms with the other, something Kes was well

aware of while he was allowed to call himself a member and politician of one of said

cities, it isn't hard to see how war is a distinct and likely possibility. When the

fighters of another city are, generally, far better than those of another, it isn't

hard to discover the reasons why he quotes that raping and pillaging shall become

rampant across the land.

Simply put, Kes has his moments, but generally, his posts are sprouted from nothing

else but the public acknowledgement that sitting in the pool will do nothing to

change the events which are likely going to occur.

Fare thee well and tempt not the Fates,

Kilthas

Written by my hand on the 12th of Cloudburst, in the year 1028.